Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000114 0.000121 0.000128 0.000136 0.000145 0.000155 0.000167
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000103 0.000113 0.000124 0.000136 0.000152 0.000169 0.000191
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000095 0.000106 0.000119 0.000135 0.000154 0.000178 0.000210
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000090 0.000102 0.000117 0.000135 0.000160 0.000190 0.000234
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000087 0.000100 0.000116 0.000138 0.000166 0.000205 0.000262
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000082 0.000095 0.000112 0.000135 0.000166 0.000209 0.000276
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000090 0.000107 0.000130 0.000162 0.000208 0.000283
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000073 0.000086 0.000103 0.000127 0.000160 0.000209 0.000292
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000081 0.000098 0.000121 0.000154 0.000204 0.000290
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000080 0.000097 0.000122 0.000158 0.000213 0.000314
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000080 0.000097 0.000124 0.000163 0.000226 0.000346
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000079 0.000098 0.000125 0.000169 0.000239 0.000382
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000079 0.000098 0.000129 0.000177 0.000259 0.000437
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000077 0.000096 0.000127 0.000177 0.000266 0.000467
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000074 0.000094 0.000125 0.000177 0.000270 0.000494
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000073 0.000094 0.000126 0.000181 0.000284 0.000547
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000073 0.000094 0.000128 0.000187 0.000303 0.000624
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000071 0.000091 0.000125 0.000185 0.000304 0.000649
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000068 0.000088 0.000121 0.000180 0.000298 0.000647
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000066 0.000085 0.000118 0.000176 0.000296 0.000660
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000063 0.000082 0.000113 0.000169 0.000283 0.000633
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000062 0.000081 0.000113 0.000172 0.000296 0.000703
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000062 0.000082 0.000115 0.000178 0.000316 0.000810